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【World Property Journal】U.S. Home Prices Forecasted to Increase 5.4 Percent in 2020

According to CoreLogic's latest Home Price Index for October 2019, U.S. home prices rose both year over year and month over month. Home prices increased nationally by 3.5% from October 2018. On a month-over-month basis, prices increased by 0.5% in October 2019.

Home prices continue to increase on an annual basis with the CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicating annual price growth will increase by 5.4% from October 2019 to October 2020.

【CNBC】Homebuilders aren’t keeping up with millennials

  • While the majority of both single- and multifamily home construction is in millennial-dense counties, it actually lags the rest of the nation when it comes to meeting demand.
  • Millennial counties, defined as geographic areas where at least a quarter of the population consists of this demographic group, account for 62% of the entire U.S. population, but they account for just 59% of single-family homebuilding, according to the National Association of Home Builders’ Home Building Geography Index.

【World Property Journal】Medical Office Buildings Draw Stronger Interest From Institutional Investors in U.S.

According to a new report from CBRE, strong fundamentals have increasingly made U.S. medical office real estate a favorite of institutional investors, keeping investment volumes at high levels and capitalization rates low this year in relation to conventional offices.

【內政部營建署】108年第二季住宅價格指數

本季(108 年第 2 季)全國住宅價格指數為 101.59,較上季上漲 0.49%,較去年同季上漲 1.51%。六都部分,新北市住宅價格指數為 102.49,相較上季上漲 0.19%,相較去年同季上漲 1.20%。臺北市住宅 價格指數為 99.59,相較上季下跌 0.52%,相較去年同季下跌 0.42%。 桃園市住宅價格指數為 103.74,相較上季上漲 0.01%,相較去年同季上 漲 1.32%。臺中市住宅價格指數為 103.81,較上季上漲 0.22%,較去年 同季上漲 1.88%。臺南市住宅價格指數為 104.67,較上季上漲 1.44%, 較去年同季上漲 4.11%。高雄市住宅價格指數為 102.13,較上季上漲 0.58%,較去年同季上漲 2.50%。整體而言,本季全國及六都住宅價格 指數變動不大,持續呈現平穩趨勢。

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【臺北市地政局】108年8月臺北市住宅價格指數

壹、8月實價登錄交易量較7月減少19.31%,交易總額減少19.15%
    108年8月實價登錄量價動態,全市交易量共957件,較7月1,186件減少229件,減幅19.31%;較去年同期1,035件減少78件,減幅7.54%,較去年平均1,022件減少65件,減幅6.36%,較5年均值1,113件減少156件,減幅14.02%。交易總金額為231.13億元,較7月285.86億元減少54.73億元,減幅19.15%;較去年同期246.33億元減少15.20億元,減幅6.17%,較去年平均273.99億元減少42.86億元,減幅15.64%,較5年均值305.94億元減少74.81億元,減幅24.45%。 

【易居研究院】2019年中國35城供求關係報告

  按照市場規律,當下嚴重供不應求的城市未來較有可能供應量增大,因為樓市的繁榮會使開發商加大拿地開工的規模從而增大供給,而需求量則有可能在持續繁榮偏離正常水平後開始回落,最後使得供求關係重新向合理水平回歸。展望未來,對於目前嚴重供小於求的城市,隨著全國房地產市場的進一步降溫,未來或面臨更長時間的市場調整壓力;而對於目前供求比大於1的絕大部分城市,由於其偏離均衡值1的程度並不是很大,當全國房地產市場降溫時,這些城市的住宅市場同樣將面臨進一步調整的壓力,直到供求比大幅偏離均衡值。

  易居研究院研究員王若辰表示:從全國范圍來看,2019年住宅市場大致處於供求平衡狀態,明年則很可能供大於求。從35個主要城市來看,2019年住宅供給略小於需求,但也將隨全國大勢進一步降溫,逐漸進入供大於求的狀態。 

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【易居研究院】2019年11月中國40城新建商品住宅成交報告

 易居房地產研究院12月4日發布《2019年11月全國40城新建商品住宅成交報告》。該報告顯示,11月,40個典型城市新建商品住宅成交面積環比小幅增長3%,同比下降8%。11月,4個一線城市成交面積環比增長9%,同比增長29%;18個二線城市成交面積環比增長10%,同比下降7%;18個三四線城市成交面積環比下降13%,同比下降19%。2019年1-11月,40城成交面積累計同比微增1%。其中一線城市累計同比增長25%,二線城市累計同比小增3%;三四線城市累計同比下降8%。

  易居研究院研究員沈昕表示,臨近年末,部分房企由於資金面緊張和年底衝刺規模業績,會加大推盤力度,打折促銷的現像也會增多。但是在中央“不將房地產作為短期刺激經濟的手段”的明確表態下,樓市預期已經轉變,雖然年末房企推盤量可能大幅增加,但成交量難以明顯增長,明年年初成交量可能進一步下降,尤其是2018年成交火熱的未調控或弱調控的三四線城市,成交量將面臨較大的下降風險。

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【Nationwide】November 2019 House price Index

“Annual house price growth remained below 1% for the 12 th month in a row in November, at 0.8%, though this was the strongest outturn since April.“ Indicators of UK economic activity have been fairly volatile in recent quarters, but the underlying pace of growth appears to have slowed as a result of weaker global growth and an intensification of Brexit uncertainty. To date, the slowdown has largely centred on business investment, while household spending has been more resilient.

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