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【CNBC】Home price gains accelerate in September, S&P Case-Shiller Index says

  •  On a national level, prices rose 3.2% annually in September, up from a 3.1% gain in August, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.
  • The 10-City Composite annual increase was 1.5%, unchanged from the previous month. The 20-City Composite rose 2.1% annually, up from 2.0% in August.
  • San Francisco was the only city in the composites to show an annual decline in home prices (-0.7%).

【CNBC】Pending home sales fall 1.7% in October, as housing shortage worsens

  • Pending home sales, which measure signed contracts, fell 1.7% in October month-to-month, according to the National Association of Realtors.
  • Sales were 4.4% higher annually, likely because mortgage rates are much lower this fall.
  • The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage was about a full percentage point lower this October than it was a year ago.

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【中華民國國家發展委員會】108年10月份景氣概況

      108年10月景氣對策信號綜合判斷分數為18分,較上月減少1分,燈號續呈黃藍燈;景氣領先、同時指標續呈上升,惟影響未來景氣不確定變數仍多,須密切關注後續發展。
      展望未來,主要半導體廠商持續擴增資本設備,且台商回流效益持續顯現,投資台灣三大方案均將漸次落實,加以政府積極推動公共建設,優化投資環境,有利於進一步推升投資動能。此外,受惠股市交易熱絡,各銷售通路年底促銷活動激勵,以及政府推動旅遊補助、節能家電汰舊換新等措施,可望推升消費。
      外需方面,歐美年終消費旺季備貨效應,加以5G供應鏈需求增溫,有助出口回升。惟全球貿易緊張局勢持續,先進與新興經濟體成長普遍放緩,明年全球經濟展望仍疲弱,對我國未來景氣之影響均須密切關注。

台灣景氣指標月刊第43卷第10期

【中房研協】《中國金融穩定報告(2019)》解讀

中國人民銀行在11月25日發布了《中國金融穩定報告(2019)》(以下簡稱《報告》),對2018年以來我國金融體系的穩健性狀況進行了全面評估。本文主要對與房地產密切相關的住戶部門債務特點及風險兩部分進行解讀。

  2018年,住戶部門債務水平上升趨勢有所放緩,個人住房貸款較快增長勢頭得到一定程度的抑制,短期消費貸在經歷2017年異常增長後企穩回落,經營貸款增速小幅回升。雖然貸款增速企穩,但是債務風險仍不能忽視,債務分佈不均衡,部分地區住戶部門和一些低收入家庭槓桿率相對較高。

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【Freddie Mac】The Housing Market Continues to Stand Firm

Investors were increasingly optimistic of a possible trade deal between the United States and China in October which relieved some of the downward pressure on Treasury yields.

The first week of November saw the highest 10-year Treasury yields since July. However, the market has seen increased volatility in November as hopes for a favorable resolution to the trade dispute have recently waned. The second week of November saw the 10-year Treasury yield plummet by nearly 15 basis points.

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