台經院今天發布最新經濟預測，估2023年台灣經濟成長率為2.58%，較去年11月預測數下修0.33個百分點；台經院景氣預測中心主任孫明德表示，國際經濟情勢影響台灣貿易、投資動能，但內需表現依然穩定。對於通膨情勢，台經院估2023年台灣消費者物價上漲率（CPI）為1.95%，和前次預測相同、維持不變。

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國發會今天公布去年12月景氣燈號，受到終端需求疲軟、產業鏈持續調整庫存等影響，景氣燈號綜合判斷分數12分，與去年11月持平，連續第2個月亮出代表「景氣低迷」的藍燈。領先指標部分連續13個月下降，累計跌幅8.1%，同時指標連續10個月下降，累計跌幅為12.1%。雖然景氣、領先指標仍呈下跌，但可以看到近期領先指標的跌幅縮小，希望這個情勢持續下去，景氣就有機會好轉。

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國泰房地產指數認為，全球經濟下行風險上升，台灣出口連續4個月負成長，中央銀行大幅下修2022年全年經濟成長率為2.91%，並於12月中旬再升息半碼，以抑制通膨預期心理；隨著景氣趨緩、股市震盪，近期房市交易明顯減緩，加上平均地權條例修法通過，將進一步抑制投資炒作行為、健全房市交易秩序。國泰房地產指數分析，綜合去年第4季房市，相較2021年同期，遞延推案在地方大選後釋出，使推案金額小幅增加，帶動成交價大漲，然而成交量及銷售率皆下滑，房市表現有待觀察。

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中央銀行今天公布2022年12月房貸餘額新台幣9兆3773億元，月增569億元，年增率更是連續9個月下滑、降至6.52%，創下2020年3月以來最低紀錄。素有建商信心風向球之稱的建築貸款餘額反映同樣趨勢，12月建築貸款餘額3兆979億元，月增141億元，不只增額持續縮水，年增率10.31%也創下2019年7月以來的新低。

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官方全台移轉數據完整出爐，2022 全年建物買賣移轉 31.8 萬棟，跌破 32 萬棟，且創近 3 年以來新低；相較於買賣交易出現明顯衰退，建物繼承及贈與登記卻較前一年度成長。值得留意的是，2022 年房市出現先盛後衰，下半年移轉比起上半年減少了 14%，近半年的市況比全年呈現的數字還要清淡。

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• Preliminary Eurostat data released Tuesday showed the euro zone grew 0.1% in the fourth quarter.
• Economists had pointed to a 0.1% contraction over the same period, according to Reuters.
• Energy prices cooled off in the latter part of 2022, bringing some relief to the euro zone’s broader economic performance.

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• The average rate on the 30-year fixed rate mortgage has fallen to 5.99%, Mortgage News Daily said.
• The rate started this week at 6.21% and fell sharply Wednesday after the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said inflation “has eased somewhat but remains elevated.”
• For someone buying a $400,000 home today with a 20% down payment, the monthly payment is $293 less than it would have been in October.

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According to data by global real estate consultant JLL, commercial real estate investment in Asia Pacific in 2022 declined by 27% year-on-year as a tightening interest rate cycle and global macroeconomic uncertainties influenced decision-making. Direct investment in Asia Pacific commercial real estate totaled $129 billion for the full-year 2022, in line with the firm's projections.

According to the National Association of Home Builders, multifamily starts are predicted to fall in 2023, following an unsustainable high level of production last year. Meanwhile, the remodeling sector remains on solid ground and will do better than the single-family and multifamily markets in 2023.