• 本季普通家戶數為 8,345,738 戶，較上季增加 0.32%，較去年同 季增加 1.58%；住宅存量總計 9,365,894 宅，較上季增加 0.40%，較去 年同季增加 1.42%；住宅家戶比 112.22 %，較上季增加 0.09 個百分 點，較去年同季減少 0.19 個百分點。
• 本季住宅建造執照核發宅數 26,023 宅，較上季減少 28.92%，較 去年同季減少 26.19%；住宅使用執照核發宅數 31,454 宅，較上季減 少 7.14%，較去年同季增加 45.14%；住宅開工宅數 25,265 宅，較上 季減少 21.79%，較去年同季減少 29.41%。

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臺中買賣移轉棟數於今年7月創下單月新高(5,969棟)；然而，隨著下半年信用管制政策效應逐漸顯現，房市氛圍發生轉變，包含信用管制影響擴大與銀行核貸收縮。10月與11月的單月交易量均較7月大減超過1,500棟，顯示市場交易熱度快速回落。基於目前數據趨勢，可以合理推測113年Q4的交易量萎縮態勢已基本確立。

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交易移轉棟(戶)數以三重區、土城區、三峽區增加較多，與113年10月相較分別增加275棟、148棟、42棟，分析原因係因本月份新成屋及中古屋移轉棟(戶)數有增加所致。另以交易案件量來看，新北市113年11月交易件數為4,953件，較113年10月增加274件，增加幅度5.9%。

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This graphic illustrates how real asset demand drivers are correlated both with each other and with macroeconomic factors. The correlation is notably different for demand drivers for economic infrastructure—which are inherently pro-cyclical—and social infrastructure, which are often driven by demographic shifts.

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• Nationwide, 16% of households were empty nests in 2022, down slightly from 17% before the pandemic. 
• Much more of these empty nesters, touted as an important potential source of housing supply should they downsize, are already located in more affordable Midwest and Southern markets, and therefore are unlikely to meaningfully lower house prices where it may matter most.

Zillow has said in its 2025 predictions that mortgage rates will fall, then rise, then fall again. This week follows the first part of our prediction, as rates fell to the lowest point in six weeks. 

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