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【World Property Journal】Commercial Property Investment in Japan Dips 9 Percent Annually in Q3

The most significant increase in investment volume was seen for hotels, where transaction volume was 3.5x that of Q3 2022, reaching JPY 195.0 billion. J-REITs were responsible for 75% of this figure, with this quarter recording the highest ever acquisition volume of hotels by J-REITs, says CBRE.

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【CNBC】Central banks look to have hit peak rates. Here’s how markets think they’ll come down

  • The U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England dramatically hiked interest rates over the last 18 months in a bid to tame runaway inflation.
  • All three kept rates on pause at their most recent meetings, and market pricing suggests varying quantities of cuts by the end of 2024 despite policymakers’ cautious tones.

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【CNBC】Fed’s Goolsbee says ‘golden path’ of a huge drop in inflation without a recession is still possible

  • Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee believes there is still a chance for a soft landing.
  • “Because of some of the strangeness of this moment, there is the possibility of the golden path ... that we got inflation down without a recession,” he said.
  • The Fed president said the central bank will be data dependent going forward.

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【信義全球資產】2023/11 信義全球資產│商用不動產月報

統計上市櫃法人10月商用不動產交易額為291.15億元,年增337%;分析各類產品交易比重,辦公室交易額為227.65億元、佔78%,工業地產交易額為56.39億元、佔20%,店面交易額為7.1億元、佔2%。本月交易動能來自企業營運自用,顯示有擴充辦公室、拓展廠房生產線需求的企業,在年底之前,會加速推進布局決策,以備明年展開新的營運計畫。

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【NAR】More Than 80% of Metro Areas Registered Home Price Increases in Third Quarter of 2023

  • Single-family existing-home sales prices rose in 82% of measured metro areas – 182 of 221 – in the third quarter, up from 58% in the previous quarter. The national median single-family existing-home price grew 2.2% from one year ago to $406,900.
  • The monthly mortgage payment on a typical, existing single-family home with a 20% down payment was $2,192 – up 19.2% from a year ago.
  • Twenty-five markets (11%) experienced double-digit annual price appreciation (up from 5% in the prior quarter).

【Zillow】Mortgage Rates Extend Their Slide This Week On Softer Jobs Data

Mortgage rates fell again this week on soft labor market data, The near 50 basis point uptick in the unemployment rate outpaced even the FOMC’s own unemployment rate forecast, prompting concerns that recession risk could be increasing again. Wage growth also moderated further as the gap between labor demand and supply continues to close.

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【Zillow】Rent Growth Finally Reaccelerates After Nearly Two-Year Slowdown (October 2023 Rent Report)

  • The typical U.S. rent is $2,011. That is 3.2% higher than a year ago and up slightly from September’s annual change — the first time since the pandemic peak that annual rent growth has accelerated. 
  • Rents fell slightly from September. This type of cooldown is common for this time of year
  • Smaller, more affordable markets in the Northeast and Midwest saw annual rent growth remain the strongest in October. Typical asking rent has fallen from a year ago in Austin, San Francisco and Portland.

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