【鉅亨網】預售買盤緩步回籠 9月揭露件數回升創近3月高
統計 2023 年全台房市預售揭露件數，平均地權條例短期衝擊淡化，9 月預售揭露件數也回升到 8692 件，年增約 27%，不過仍低於第二季政策上路前平均每月 1.1 萬件，顯示政策上路後非自用需求退場，自用客成為市場購屋主力，同時，揭露的件數以桃園最熱。
【World Property Journal】Housing Affordability in the U.S. Hits Lowest Levels in Index History
According to the National Association of Home Builders /Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index , just 37.4% of new and existing homes sold between the beginning of July and end of September 2023 were affordable to families earning the U.S. median income of $96,300. This is down from 40.5% posted in the second quarter of this year, and the lowest reading since NAHB began tracking affordability on a consistent basis in 2012.
【World Property Journal】One-Third of U.S. Home Sellers Give Concessions to Buyers
Based on new data from Redfin, U.S. home sellers gave concessions to buyers in 35% of U.S. home sales during the three months ending Oct. 31, 2023. That's about the same as one year earlier, but up from 27.6% from two years ago.
【World Property Journal】Global Commercial Investment Implodes 51 Percent Annually in Q3
Multifamily investment volume fell by 59% year-over-year in Q3 to $37 billion, while industrial investment dropped by 44% to $32 billion. Office investment fell by 63% to $26 billion, with relatively weak fundamentals and a lack of liquidity. Retail investment dropped by 35% to $25 billion.
【CNBC】UBS sees a raft of Fed rate cuts next year on the back of a U.S. recession
- UBS sees slower growth, rising unemployment and disinflation to lead the Fed to cut its benchmark rate to a target range ending the year between 2.50% and 2.75%.
- Arend Kapteyn, UBS global head of economics and strategy research, told CNBC on Tuesday that the starting conditions are “much worse now than 12 months ago,” particularly in the form of the “historically large” amount of credit that is being withdrawn from the U.S. economy.
【Colliers】2023年 第三季 | 台北 | 辦公室
有別於上半年，2023年第三季起，租賃動能略有回溫，租賃詢問度及成交案件皆有所提高，租金依然持續走揚。以租戶類型來看，今年迄今租賃活動最為活絡之業種以科技業、零售業及能源業位居前三。四季將有三棟辦公大樓竣工，總計2.9萬坪(89,094平方米)的新增供給，儘管本季起租賃動能有所增長，但跨國企業決策時程仍較長，預測至年底空置率變動幅度有限，將維持在6.5%的水準。
【信義房價指數】2023年10月大台北指數
【信義不動產評論】2023年第三季
今年在買氣回流之下，Q2移轉年變動率己縮小到18%，旦後續將持續收斂，7月平均地權條例修法正式上路，除一手市場出現較明顯的轉折向下外，房市買氣、意願、交易動能等客觀指標在修正中仍穩定發展，2023Q3全台移轉量為7.98萬棟，較上季增加6.82%；六都的建物買質移轉棟數為6.1萬棟，年增9%，創下5季以來新高。Q3全台房價指數季增1.84%，年增3.63%。各主要都會區路有增長，僅台南小幅下跌。
【CBRE】Rising Interest Rates Curb Q3 Global Investment Activity
- Global commercial real estate investment volume fell by 51% year-over-year in Q3 2023 to US$142 billion. Volume fell by 53% in the Americas, 54% in Europe and 30% in Asia-Pacific.
- Investment totals for all major property sectors fell year-over-year in Q3.
- Rising interest rates and tight credit conditions, along with expectations of slower economic growth in the U.S. and Europe, likely will further reduce commercial real estate investment activity through the first half of 2024.
【NAR】NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun Forecasts Existing Home Sales Will Rise by 15% Next Year and Mortgage Rates Will be Between 6-7% by Spring 2024
Consumers are happy with real estate service. The market is fiercely competitive with so many business models among which to choose – from do it yourselfers to iBuyers to discount brokerages, to full service and rebates. American home buyers have benefited immensely from such wide-ranging choices in real estate services. Moreover, homeowners have accumulated sizable wealth over time.
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