【中央社】商仲:今年商用不動產交易逾1500億 明年短期觀望
商仲第一太平戴維斯統計,截至今年12月9日大型商用不動產交易金額達新台幣1539億元,年增8%,寫下近10年來第2高紀錄。第一太平戴維斯董事長黃瑞楠表示,展望明年,短期內投資型買方保守觀望,大型投資人轉往租金投報率較高的物流倉儲或工業廠辦。
商仲第一太平戴維斯統計,截至今年12月9日大型商用不動產交易金額達新台幣1539億元,年增8%,寫下近10年來第2高紀錄。第一太平戴維斯董事長黃瑞楠表示,展望明年,短期內投資型買方保守觀望,大型投資人轉往租金投報率較高的物流倉儲或工業廠辦。
央行第4季理監事會19日登場,市場普遍預期利率將「連3凍」。至於是否端出新一波房市管制,專家認為,房市降溫很明確,民眾對價格上漲的預期也已減少;行庫主管則分析,目前交易已趨向回歸剛性自住,央行應會先「讓子彈再飛一下」。此外,為讓房市降溫,央行在9月理監事會出重手,祭出史上最嚴的第7波選擇性信用管制,12月是否可能祭出第8波管制措施,備受矚目。
The Home Builders Federation (HBF), along with the UK's largest housebuilder Barratt Redrow said skills shortages, ageing workers and Brexit were some of the factors behind the shrinking workforce. The government confirmed there was a "dire shortage" of construction workers but said it was "taking steps to rectify" the problem.
Following last month's U.S. election, a record percentage of consumers now expect mortgage rates to decline over the next year, while fewer predict rising home prices. Although only 23% of respondents consider it a "good time to buy a home," this marks a notable improvement from 14% in November 2023, sustaining its upward trend.
Based on CoreLogic's latest Loan Performance Insights Report for September 2024, approximately 3 percent of all U.S. mortgages were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure), up 0.2% year over year from September 2023.
截至113年10月底,消費者貸款計 12,741,307 百萬元;建築貸款 3,459,604 百萬元。
信義全球資產公司統計11月商用不動產市場交易情形,11月上市櫃法人購置商用不動產交易額為112億元、年增26%;其中辦公室交易額為37億元、年減27%;工業地產交易額為75億元、年增121%。
Economic growth and firming real estate fundamentals will drive a moderate recovery in real estate investment activity in 2025, even though the 10-year Treasury yield will remain above 4%. Capitalization rates will compress slightly. Investors have the opportunity to secure long-term returns that have not been available for many years.