在營造業方面，有鑑於2023年6月公共建設市場擴張、民間建築領域疲弱，再加上成本端也出現營造建材價格下跌，但勞務費用上升的僵持情況，故2023年6月營造業景氣以持平視之。由於政府開放營造業有條件申請移工方案將於8月正式上路，預期將可望部分遏止勞務成本上揚之效果，因此未來半年營造業景氣以好轉看待。其次不動產業方面，2023年6月六都建物買賣移轉件數月增率為 -3.2%，主要是反映買賣雙方拉鋸的現象，買方認為政府打炒房，房價應大幅下滑，認知幅度與賣方讓利空間落差大，進而壓低成交量所致。

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隨通膨壓力趨緩，全球經濟動能溫和增長，國際預測機構 S&P Global 6 月 15 日最新 預測，2023 全年經濟成長率 2.4%，較上月上調 0.1 個百分點。以主要國家觀察，美國上 調 0.3 個百分點最多，日本上調 0.2 個百分點次之，歐元區、南韓各下修 0.2 個百分點， 中國大陸、香港、新加坡均持平。

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Mortgage rates increased this week as investors weigh the risk that this week’s increase in the Fed’s benchmark short-term rate may not be its last, Although the latest inflation reading shows price growth is moving toward the Federal Reserve’s target, the slower pace of disinflation, stubbornly high nominal wage growth, and the recent uptick in economic activity suggest the inflation battle may not be won yet.

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• There were 697,000 new single-family home sales nationwide in June (SAAR), down 2.5% from May but up 23.8% from June 2022, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
• The median sales price of new houses sold in April was $415,400.
• The seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of April was 432,000, a supply of 7.4 months at the current sales rate.

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• Pending home sales augmented in June, up 0.3% from May.
• Month over month, contract signings increased in the Northeast and Midwest but decreased in the South and West.
• NAR forecasts the 30-year fixed mortgage rate will hit 6.4% in 2023, followed by 6.0% in 2024. While median home sales will decrease 12.9% from 2022 to 2023 (4.38 million), they will climb 15.5% in 2024 (5.06 million).