領先指標不含趨勢指數為 103.59，較上月上升 0.70%。7 個構成項目經去除長期趨勢後，6 項較上月上升，包括：實質半導體設備進口值、股價指數、外銷訂單動向指數、製造業營業氣候測驗點、工業及服務業受僱員工淨進入率、實質貨幣總計數 M1B；僅建築物開工樓地板面積較上月下滑。

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113 年第 1 季全國住宅價格季指數為 140.82，較上季上漲 3.40%，較 112 年同季上漲 9.29%。在六都方面，新北市住宅價格季指 數為 133.49，較上季上漲 3.02%，較 112 年同季上漲 8.22%。臺北市 住宅價格季指數為 119.56，較上季上漲 1.72%，較 112 年同季上漲 5.75%。

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113 年 4 月實價登錄量價動態，全市交易量共 939 件，較 3 月 1,128 件減少 189 件，減幅 16.76%，較前一年同期 954 件，減幅 1.57%；交易 總額為 252.45 億元，較 3 月 295.87 億元減少 43.42 億元，減幅 14.68%， 較前一年同期 241.32 億元，增幅 4.61%。

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• Pending home sales intensified 4.8% in June.
• Month over month, contract signings increased in all four U.S. regions.
• Compared to one year ago, pending home sales declined in the Northeast, Midwest and South, but improved in the West.

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Luxury home values, which consistently lagged the middle of the market over the past several years, have now outpaced typical homes for five consecutive months. For this analysis, Zillow defines a luxury home as being in the most-valuable 5% of homes in a given region. Home values for luxury homes tend to grow more slowly, in part because the pool of buyers is so small. 

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The Federal Reserve decided to hold the bank’s key interest rate steady this week. Although core inflation has inched closer to the Fed’s two-percent target and the labor market has softened, economic activity remains strong. The Fed chair acknowledged that monetary policy is now in restrictive territory. However, acting too soon to move policy to a less restrictive stance could undo progress on the inflation front.

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