• Existing-home sales descended 1.0% in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.84 million. Sales dipped 3.5% from one year ago.
• The median existing-home sales price climbed 3.0% from September 2023 to $404,500, the 15th consecutive month of year-over-year price increases.
• The inventory of unsold existing homes rose by 1.5% from the prior month to 1.39 million at the end of September, or the equivalent of 4.3 months’ supply at the current monthly sales pace.

The All-Grade vacancy rate slipped by 0.1 pp. q-o-q to 4.0% in Q3 2024, the fourth consecutive quarterly decline. Net absorption hit 60,000 tsubo, outpacing the quarter’s 53,000 tsubo of new supply. While several new buildings commenced operations at less than full capacity, vacancies in existing buildings were filled during the quarter, particularly those in relatively new buildings.

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Investment in UK commercial real estate over the year to date has increased by 6.9% relative to 2023. However, transaction volumes in Q3 2024 have fallen compared to the previous quarter. The Office sector attracted the highest investment during the quarter, followed by the Living and Industrial sectors.

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作者：陳明吉/國立政治大學財務管理學系教授、黃瓊瑩/國立政治大學商學院信義不動產研究發展中心研究員

賴總統在國慶演說中承諾打炒房，實現居住正義。政府為了保障民眾居住需要與抑制投機炒房，過去實施一系列房市政策，如奢侈稅、房地合一稅制、實價登錄制度、平均地權條例修正及選擇性信用管制措施等等，房市政策不斷但房價卻屢創新高，民眾購屋負擔只增不減。政府應認真思考問題出在哪裡？

檢視過往房市政策，二○一一年曾實施奢侈稅，高稅率雖然快速抑制房市投機，卻無法撼動房價。實價登錄制度在二○一二年接續而上，旨在提高房市交易資訊透明化，防止哄抬房價和炒作行為，實施後的確提升房價透明度，但也被炒作者利用來推升房價，如當作提高價格的定錨工具；交易價格包含房屋裝潢，也影響價格資料正確判讀。

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